simulator

ESC Nation 2010 Scoreboard Simulator
Includes the new semifinal 50/50 system

What's changed from the 2009 simulator?

- As the 50/50 system is now also used for the semifinals, the Simulator does the same. You should be able to see the full distribution at the end of the voting.

- You now control the order of the envelopes. With the red button you can spin the envelopes; press again, and they will slow down. Once they come to a halt, the envelope closest to you should open. Clicking is tedious? Just hit 'skip envelopes' .

- You can still play the 2009 Simulator here.

How this works

- Each time you run the scoreboard, success chances are randomly created and normally distributed (using Gauss curve).

- The countries qualified from the Semifinal maintain their chances of success in the final (with slight changes that can result from better/worse performance or draw). This is why you will likely to see a Big 4 country or two near the bottom - we have nothing against Big 4 countries, it's just mathematically likely to happen.

- If you choose to define your own chances, setting a high chance doesn't guarantee success. It just increases that country's chances to succeed. Likewise with low chances. Just like with ESC, you will not always be happy with the result!

- Neighbour/diaspora voting increases some countries' chances to award points to some others, based on our observations from televoting years.

- This scoreboard is based on the previous Scorewiz and Eileen Dunne simulators.